News and correlations of CEEC-3 financial markets

C-Tier
Journal: Economic Modeling
Year: 2010
Volume: 27
Issue: 5
Pages: 915-922

Authors (2)

Büttner, David (not in RePEc) Hayo, Bernd (Philipps-Universität Marburg)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We employ DCC-MGARCH models to investigate conditional correlations between six CEEC-3 financial markets. In general, the highest correlations exist between Hungary and Poland in foreign exchange and stock markets. Short-term money markets are somewhat isolated from each other. We find that the associations of CEEC-3 exchange rates versus euro are weaker than those versus the US dollar. The persistence of the effect of shocks on the time-varying correlations is strongest for foreign exchange and stock markets, indicating a tendency toward contagion. In searching for the origins of financial market volatility in the CEEC-3, we uncover some evidence of Granger-causality on the foreign exchange markets. Finally, using a pool model, we investigate the impact of euro area, US, and CEEC-3 news on the correlations. Apart from ECB monetary policy news, we observe no broad effects of international news on correlations; instead, local news exerts an influence, which suggests a dominance of country- or market-specific circumstances.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecmode:v:27:y:2010:i:5:p:915-922
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25