Taxes and Borrower Behavior: Evidence from the Mortgage Interest Deductibility Limit

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Urban Economics
Year: 2020
Volume: 118
Issue: C

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper estimates the behavioral response to mortgage interest tax deductibility by studying the discrete change in the net-of-tax marginal interest rate that occurs at $1 million in mortgage debt. Using data on 2004-2016 mortgage originations, I estimate excess bunching in the loan distribution based on a counterfactual that accounts for bunching at salient loan amounts. Findings suggest excess of about 54,000 loans at the deductibility limit, or 4.5% of the sample. The level of bunching implies an average reduction in borrowing around the $1 million limit of 9.4 percent, and mortgage demand elasticities between − 0.132 to − 0.115 for home purchase loans. Estimated elasticities imply that from 2004-2016 the MID induced $49.52 billion in deadweight loss in the mortgage market.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:juecon:v:118:y:2020:i:c:s0094119020300279
Journal Field
Urban
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-25