Agricultural production amid conflict: Separating the effects of conflict into shocks and uncertainty

B-Tier
Journal: World Development
Year: 2019
Volume: 119
Issue: C
Pages: 165-184

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper examines the effect of conflict on agricultural production of small farmers. First, an inter-temporal model of agricultural production is developed in which the impact of conflict is transmitted through violent shocks and uncertainty brought about by conflict. We test the model using a unique household survey applied to 4800 households in four micro-regions of Colombia. Our findings suggest households learn to live amid conflict, albeit at a lower income trajectory. When presence of non-state armed actors prolongs, farmers shift to activities with short-term yields and lower profitability from activities that require high investments. If violence intensifies in regions with presence of non-state armed actors, farmers concentrate on subsistence activities.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:wdevel:v:119:y:2019:i:c:p:165-184
Journal Field
Development
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25