Multivariate Trend‐Cycle‐Seasonal Decompositions with Correlated Innovations

B-Tier
Journal: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2024
Volume: 86
Issue: 5
Pages: 1260-1289

Authors (3)

Jing Tian (not in RePEc) Jan P.A.M. Jacobs (Rijksuniversiteit Groningen) Denise R. Osborn (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Multivariate analysis can help to focus on important phenomena, including trend and cyclical movements, but any economic information in seasonality is typically ignored. The present paper aims to more fully exploit time series information through a multivariate unobserved component model for quarterly data that exhibits seasonality together with cross‐variable component correlations. We show that economic restrictions, including common trends, common cycles and common seasonals can aid identification. The approach is illustrated using Italian GDP and consumption data.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:obuest:v:86:y:2024:i:5:p:1260-1289
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25