Baby Booms and Drug Busts: Trends in Youth Drug use in the United States, 1975–2000

S-Tier
Journal: Quarterly Journal of Economics
Year: 2004
Volume: 119
Issue: 4
Pages: 1481-1512

Score contribution per author:

8.043 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Are there agglomeration economies in crime? The positive correlation between city size and crime rates is well-known. This paper establishes a positive relationship between youth cohort size and marijuana use rates. It further demonstrates a negative association between youth cohort size and marijuana prices, youth drug possession arrest rates, and both overall and youth sales arrest rates. Cohort size affects demand by lowering possession arrest probabilities, but this factor explains less than 10 percent of the relationship. The main effect shown here, accounting for at least a quarter of the relationship, is on the supply of marijuana. Larger youth cohorts yield thicker drug markets that, through lower sales arrest risk and informational economies, generate cost-savings in drug distribution.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:qjecon:v:119:y:2004:i:4:p:1481-1512.
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-25