Learning to believe in simple equilibria in a complex OLG economy - evidence from the lab

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Theory
Year: 2019
Volume: 183
Issue: C
Pages: 106-182

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We set up a laboratory experiment to empirically investigate equilibrium selection in a complex economic environment. We use the overlapping-generation model of Grandmont (1985), which displays multiple perfect-foresight equilibria, including periodic and chaotic dynamics. The equilibrium selection problem is not solved under learning, as each outcome is predicted by at least one existing learning theory. We find that subjects in the lab systematically coordinate on an equilibrium despite the complexity of the environment. Coordination only happens on simple equilibria, in this case the steady state or the period-two cycle, a result which is predicted only if the subjects follow simple learning rules. This suggests that relevant perfect-foresight equilibria should be robust to the use of simple rules.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jetheo:v:183:y:2019:i:c:p:106-182
Journal Field
Theory
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24