Bayesian semiparametric multivariate GARCH modeling

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Econometrics
Year: 2013
Volume: 176
Issue: 1
Pages: 3-17

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper proposes a Bayesian nonparametric modeling approach for the return distribution in multivariate GARCH models. In contrast to the parametric literature the return distribution can display general forms of asymmetry and thick tails. An infinite mixture of multivariate normals is given a flexible Dirichlet process prior. The GARCH functional form enters into each of the components of this mixture. We discuss conjugate methods that allow for scale mixtures and nonconjugate methods which provide mixing over both the location and scale of the normal components. MCMC methods are introduced for posterior simulation and computation of the predictive density. Bayes factors and density forecasts with comparisons to GARCH models with Student-t innovations demonstrate the gains from our flexible modeling approach.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:econom:v:176:y:2013:i:1:p:3-17
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25