The relationship between regional natural gas markets and crude oil markets from a multi-scale nonlinear Granger causality perspective

A-Tier
Journal: Energy Economics
Year: 2017
Volume: 67
Issue: C
Pages: 98-110

Authors (3)

Geng, Jiang-Bo (not in RePEc) Ji, Qiang (Chinese Academy of Sciences) Fan, Ying (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This study first decomposes the daily returns of regional gas and crude oil at different time scales, using the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method. It then investigates the causality relationship between each pair of components at the different time scales, by employing the linear and nonlinear Granger causality tests. For the original returns series, this study finds that unidirectional linear Granger causality exists from crude oil markets to North American and European gas markets. However, for nonlinear characteristics, the crude oil and regional gas markets exhibit bidirectional nonlinear Granger causality. On the medium-term time scale, a bidirectional nonlinear spillover effect is found between the markets. The long-term trends for the markets suggest a significant linear relationship; however, no nonlinear spillover effect is found between the crude oil and regional gas markets.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:eneeco:v:67:y:2017:i:c:p:98-110
Journal Field
Energy
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25