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α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count
We evaluate the national and international impacts—on energy consumption and production, trade, and economic activity—of Chinese coal-to-gas switching in the electric power sector. We find that assumptions about growth rates in electricity generation from renewables are the key determinant in evaluating the economic consequences for coal-to-gas switching in China. The ability to supplement natural gas generation with renewables leads to smaller reductions in Chinese and global economic activity than the alternatives.