The Reach of Radio: Ending Civil Conflict through Rebel Demobilization

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2020
Volume: 110
Issue: 5
Pages: 1395-1429

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We examine the role of FM radio in mitigating violent conflict. We collect original data on radio broadcasts encouraging defections during the Lord's Resistance Army (LRA) insurgency. This constitutes the first quantitative evaluation of an active counterinsurgency policy that encourages defections through radio messages. Exploiting random topography-driven variation in radio coverage along with panel variation at the grid-cell level, we identify the causal effect of messaging on violence. Broadcasting defection messages increases defections and reduces fatalities, violence against civilians, and clashes with security forces. Income shocks have opposing effects on both the conflict and the effectiveness of messaging.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:110:y:2020:i:5:p:1395-1429
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24