Can Consumers Distinguish Persistent from Transitory Income Shocks?

A-Tier
Journal: Economic Journal
Year: 2020
Volume: 130
Issue: 632
Pages: 2410-2437

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The degree to which consumers can distinguish persistent from transitory income shocks is paramount for consumption-saving dynamics. In particular, even a small amount of imperfect information causes a severe bias in conventional estimators of the marginal propensity to consume. We provide a novel method that can identify consumers’ degree of information by using panel data on income and consumption, even allowing for measurement error. Employing our method to data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, we find that households have almost perfect information. This robust result indicates that the conventional estimators of the marginal propensity to consume are on firm ground.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:econjl:v:130:y:2020:i:632:p:2410-2437.
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25