Slow Debt, Deep Recessions

A-Tier
Journal: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
Year: 2022
Volume: 14
Issue: 1
Pages: 224-59

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Business credit lags GDP growth by about one year. This contributes to high leverage during recessions and slow deleveraging. We show that a model in which firms use risky long-term debt replicates this slow adjustment of firm debt. In the model, slow-moving debt has important effects for real activity. High levels of firm debt issued during expansions are only gradually reduced during recessions. This generates an adverse feedback loop between high default rates and low investment and thereby amplifies the downturn. Sluggish deleveraging slows down the recovery.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aejmac:v:14:y:2022:i:1:p:224-59
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25