Ambiguity aversion in the long run: “To disagree, we must also agree”

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Theory
Year: 2016
Volume: 165
Issue: C
Pages: 242-256

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We consider an economy populated by smooth ambiguity-averse agents with complete markets of securities contingent to economic scenarios, where bankruptcy is permitted but there is a penalty for it. We show that if agents' posterior belief reductions given by their “average probabilistic beliefs” do not become homogeneous then an equilibrium does not exist. It is worth noting that our main result does not imply any convergence of ambiguity perception or even the attitudes towards it. In this way, complete markets with default and punishment allow for ambiguity aversion in the long run, and the agents can disagree on their ambiguity perception but they must agree on their expected beliefs.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jetheo:v:165:y:2016:i:c:p:242-256
Journal Field
Theory
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24