Speculative hyperinflations and currency substitution

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Year: 2009
Volume: 33
Issue: 10
Pages: 1808-1823

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We propose a rational expectations framework for understanding speculative hyperinflations that end in response to 'orthodox' stabilization programs. Motivated by a strong degree of hysteresis in the stock of real balances after the end of hyperinflations, we provide a cash-and-credit model in which the money demand exhibits persistence because individuals can establish long-lasting credit relationships. We use the model to show that if hysteresis in real balances is possible then a fiscal-monetary reform that successfully stops a speculative hyperinflation may fail to prevent it. We argue that speculative hyperinflationary equilibria are consistent with some key stylized facts observed in extreme hyperinflations.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:dyncon:v:33:y:2009:i:10:p:1808-1823
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-24