Inflation-stabilizing monetary and fiscal policy rules at and away from the lower bound

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year: 2025
Volume: 156
Issue: C

Authors (3)

Arden, Lucas (not in RePEc) Hauptmeier, Sebastian (not in RePEc) Kamps, Christophe (European Central Bank)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We examine how fiscal policy can support monetary policy when nominal interest rates face an occasionally binding lower bound constraint. Within the conventional framework of active monetary policy and passive fiscal policy, the optimized fiscal rule features a strong response to inflation deviations from the central bank’s target. The inflation-stabilizing fiscal rule significantly reduces the deflationary bias and welfare costs associated with the lower bound constraint while maintaining debt sustainability. Counterfactual analysis for the U.S. shows that implementing the optimized fiscal rule during the pre-pandemic low-inflation period would have provided systematic support to monetary policy, lifting inflation closer to target when rates were at the lower bound and enabling an earlier rate lift-off.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:moneco:v:156:y:2025:i:c:s030439322500128x
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25