A Case against a 4% Inflation Target

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
Year: 2021
Volume: 53
Issue: 5
Pages: 1097-1119

Authors (2)

ENGIN KARA (Cardiff University) TONY YATES (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.009 = (α=2.02 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We reformulate the standard New Keynesian model to include heterogeneity in price stickiness suggested by microevidence on price changes and to allow for positive trend inflation. In the new model, higher trend inflation leads to a relatively greater long‐run output loss and, consequently, a smaller determinacy region than in the standard model. When trend inflation is 4%, the determinacy region of the new model is almost nonexistent, cautioning against increasing the inflation target to 4% as a means to avoid the zero lower bound in the future and pointing to the costs that high inflation may have had in the past.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:jmoncb:v:53:y:2021:i:5:p:1097-1119
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25