Interdependence and lead-lag relationships between the oil price and metal markets: Fresh insights from the wavelet and quantile coherency approaches

A-Tier
Journal: Energy Economics
Year: 2021
Volume: 101
Issue: C

Authors (4)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We empirically examine the connectedness between the oil market and the major precious metals (gold, silver platinum, palladium) and the base metal copper over the available period covering December 06, 1988 to August 31, 2018, using the wavelet coherence and quantile cross-spectral analyses. The major findings can be summed up as follows. First, regarding the connectedness among the considered precious metal markets, there is no evidence of identifying the causal interplays. Second, gold and platinum are highly connected with oil and they influence oil prices, especially during global markets' turmoil. Third, the cross-quantile coherency analysis shows that gold and silver exhibit the highest quantile coherency. Fourth, the intensity of the nexus between gold and copper attains its nadir at the extreme upper and lower quantiles. Our empirical findings have relevant implications for investors. It is important for investors in commodity markets to make appropriate investment market decisions in extreme market circumstances. On the other hand, policymakers may benefit from our research, as they could generate suitable strategies.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:eneeco:v:101:y:2021:i:c:s0140988321003157
Journal Field
Energy
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25