"Reverse Bayesianism": A Choice-Based Theory of Growing Awareness

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2013
Volume: 103
Issue: 7
Pages: 2790-2810

Authors (2)

Edi Karni (Johns Hopkins University) Marie-Louise Vier? (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This article introduces a new approach to modeling the expanding universe of decision makers in the wake of growing awareness, and invokes the axiomatic approach to model the evolution of decision makers' beliefs as awareness grows. The expanding universe is accompanied by extension of the set of acts, the preference relations over which are linked by a new axiom, invariant risk preferences, asserting that the ranking of lotteries is independent of the set of acts under consideration. The main results are representation theorems and rules for updating beliefs over expanding state spaces and events that have the flavor of "reverse Bayesianism."

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:103:y:2013:i:7:p:2790-2810
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25