Modeling the Asymmetric Effects of an Oil Price Shock

B-Tier
Journal: International Journal of Central Banking
Year: 2023
Volume: 19
Issue: 3
Pages: 1-47

Authors (2)

Lance J Bachmeier (not in RePEc) Benjamin D Keen (University of Oklahoma)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper documents that an oil price increase generates a larger decline in output when the oil price hits a near-term high. We develop a New Keynesian model with energy and a downward nominal wage rigidity that generates asymmetric responses of the macroeconomy to energy price shocks. Specifically, a large energy price increase pushes down the real wage enough that the downward nominal wage constraint binds for several periods, which causes firms to reduce their output further. Since that mechanism is unimportant when energy prices fall, the downward nominal wage constraint causes output to react asymmetrically to oil price shocks.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ijc:ijcjou:y:2023:q:3:a:1
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25