Capital Markets in China and Britain, 1770–1860: Evidence from Grain Prices

A-Tier
Journal: American Economic Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2021
Volume: 13
Issue: 3
Pages: 31-64

Authors (3)

Wolfgang Keller (National Bureau of Economic Re...) Carol H. Shiue (not in RePEc) Xin Wang (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Based on comprehensive grain price data, we employ a storage model to estimate consistent interest rates and compare capital market development between Britain and China. Interest rates for Britain were lower than China's on average by about 3 percentage points from 1770 to 1860. For country pairs with bilateral distance less than 200 kilometers, the regional capital market integration in the Yangzi Delta in China comes close to the British average; but at larger distances, spatial interest rate correlations in Britain are twice those of the Delta and three or more times as high as elsewhere in China. Overall, our results suggest capital market development differences at an early date, so that capital market performance may be important for the Great Divergence that emerged between China and Western countries at this time.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aejapp:v:13:y:2021:i:3:p:31-64
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25