Selloffs, bailouts, and feedback: Can asset markets inform policy?

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Theory
Year: 2017
Volume: 169
Issue: C
Pages: 294-343

Authors (3)

Boleslavsky, Raphael (not in RePEc) Kelly, David L. (University of Miami) Taylor, Curtis R. (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We introduce a new market microstructure model to study a setting in which an authority (e.g. a firm manager or government policymaker) learns about the likelihood of a bad state by observing activity in the asset market, before deciding whether to undertake a costly intervention to improve the state. Intervention erodes the value of an investor's private information by weakening the link between the initial state and the asset payoff. Informed investors are reluctant to make large, informative trades in the bad state, undermining the market's informativeness and the welfare gains generated by the possibility of a corrective intervention. Fundamentally, the authority faces a tradeoff between eliciting information from the asset market and using the information so obtained. The authority can generate a Pareto improvement if she commits to intervene less often when the market suggests that intervention is most beneficial and more often when the market suggests that intervention is unwarranted. She thus may benefit from imperfections in the intervention process or from delegating the decision to intervene to a biased agent.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jetheo:v:169:y:2017:i:c:p:294-343
Journal Field
Theory
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25