The heterogeneous role of party affiliation in the runner‐up effect

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Applied Econometrics
Year: 2024
Volume: 39
Issue: 5
Pages: 952-959

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

A recent finding establishes that second‐place candidates perform substantially better over third‐place candidates in future electoral races. We show that this estimated effect masks substantial heterogeneity with respect to the party affiliation of the candidates. Only runner‐ups without a major party backing in election t$$ t $$ have significant prospects over the third‐place candidates in election t+1$$ t+1 $$, in terms of either recontesting or winning. Our finding suggests that political parties and voters, while strategically coordinating on the runner‐ups in election t+1$$ t+1 $$, also take into account the party backing as a potential signal of their intrinsic quality.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:japmet:v:39:y:2024:i:5:p:952-959
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25