Rules-based monetary policy and the threat of indeterminacy when trend inflation is low

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year: 2020
Volume: 114
Issue: C
Pages: 317-333

Authors (3)

Khan, Hashmat (Carleton University) Phaneuf, Louis (not in RePEc) Victor, Jean Gardy (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Indeterminacy in new Keynesian models with Calvo-contracts can occur even at low trend inflation levels of 2% or 3%. The interaction of trend inflation with nominal wage rigidity and trend growth in output causes large distortions in the steady state and expands the indeterminacy region. Consequently, even interest rate rules with strong inflation responses may not be sufficient to ensure determinacy. A policy rule reacting to output growth but not to output gap significantly increases the prospect of determinacy. Although the threat of indeterminacy is less severe under Taylor-contracts, significant departures from the original Taylor Principle are required for determinacy.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:moneco:v:114:y:2020:i:c:p:317-333
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25