Nonlinear dynamics in exchange rate deviations from the monetary fundamentals: An empirical study

C-Tier
Journal: Economic Modeling
Year: 2010
Volume: 27
Issue: 5
Pages: 1167-1177

Score contribution per author:

0.335 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper reexamines empirical performance of the monetary exchange rate model with nonlinear dynamics of exchange rate deviation from the monetary fundamentals. First, we apply unit root test of Park and Shintani (2005) to post-Bretton Woods exchange rate data and able to reject the null of unit root deviation from monetary fundamentals against alternative hypothesis of nonlinear stationary process for deutschemark, pound, and Swiss franc. Our empirical results find that exchange rates show high degree of mean-reversion with larger deviation and long periods of overvaluation and undervaluation of dollar. We also find empirical evidence of predictability of the monetary fundamentals at longer horizons.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecmode:v:27:y:2010:i:5:p:1167-1177
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25