Thar She Bursts: Reducing Confusion Reduces Bubbles

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2012
Volume: 102
Issue: 2
Pages: 865-83

Authors (3)

Michael Kirchler (Leopold-Franzens-Universität I...) Jurgen Huber (not in RePEc) Thomas Stockl (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

To explore why bubbles frequently emerge in the experimental asset market model of Smith, Suchanek, and Williams (1988), we vary the fundamental value process (constant or declining) and the cash-to-asset value ratio (constant or increasing). We observe high mispricing in treatments with a declining fundamental value, while overvaluation emerges when coupled with an increasing C/A ratio. A questionnaire reveals that the declining fundamental value process confuses subjects, as they expect the fundamental value to stay constant. Running the experiment with a different context ("stocks of a depletable gold mine" instead of "stocks") significantly reduces mispricing and overvaluation as it reduces confusion. (JEL C91, D14, G11, G12)

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:102:y:2012:i:2:p:865-83
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25