The “inflow-effect”—Trader inflow and price efficiency

B-Tier
Journal: European Economic Review
Year: 2015
Volume: 77
Issue: C
Pages: 1-19

Authors (4)

Kirchler, Michael (Leopold-Franzens-Universität I...) Bonn, Caroline (not in RePEc) Huber, Jürgen (not in RePEc) Razen, Michael (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We investigate the impact of cash and trader inflow on price efficiency in multi-period experimental asset markets. Implementing eight treatments with 672 subjects, we find that (i) the joint inflow of cash and traders triggers strong overvaluation and massive price run-ups (inflow-effect). Remarkably, the effect occurs in almost all of the 30 markets with joint cash and trader inflow and is very robust. The effect even prevails in markets with complete and symmetric fundamental information. We further show that (ii) in treatments with the joint inflow of cash and traders, prices crash to fundamentals towards maturity of the asset. The analysis of traders׳ beliefs reveals that (iii) despite fundamental values staying constant, beliefs about fundamentals co-move with upwardly trending prices. Finally, we report a speculative motive only among the optimists in treatments where we observe the inflow-effect.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:eecrev:v:77:y:2015:i:c:p:1-19
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25