(Un)expected monetary policy shocks and term premia

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Applied Econometrics
Year: 2022
Volume: 37
Issue: 3
Pages: 477-499

Authors (2)

Martin Kliem (Deutsche Bundesbank) Alexander Meyer‐Gohde (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The term structure of interest rates is crucial for the transmission of monetary policy to financial markets and the macroeconomy. Disentangling the impact of monetary policy on the components of interest rates, expected short rates, and term premia is essential to understanding this channel. To accomplish this, we provide a quantitative structural model with endogenous, time‐varying term premia that are consistent with empirical findings. News about future policy, in contrast to unexpected policy shocks, has quantitatively significant effects on term premia along the entire term structure. This provides a plausible explanation for partly contradictory estimates in the empirical literature.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:japmet:v:37:y:2022:i:3:p:477-499
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25