Should Macroeconomic Forecasters Use Daily Financial Data and How?

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
Year: 2013
Volume: 31
Issue: 2
Pages: 240-251

Authors (3)

Elena Andreou (not in RePEc) Eric Ghysels (not in RePEc) Andros Kourtellos (University of Cyprus)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We introduce easy-to-implement, regression-based methods for predicting quarterly real economic activity that use daily financial data and rely on forecast combinations of mixed data sampling (MIDAS) regressions. We also extract a novel small set of daily financial factors from a large panel of about 1000 daily financial assets. Our analysis is designed to elucidate the value of daily financial information and provide real-time forecast updates of the current (nowcasting) and future quarters of real GDP growth.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:jnlbes:v:31:y:2013:i:2:p:240-251
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25