Unobserved components with stochastic volatility: Simulation‐based estimation and signal extraction

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Applied Econometrics
Year: 2021
Volume: 36
Issue: 5
Pages: 614-627

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The unobserved components time series model with stochastic volatility has gained much interest in econometrics, especially for the purpose of modelling and forecasting inflation. We present a feasible simulated maximum likelihood method for parameter estimation from a classical perspective. The method can also be used for evaluating the marginal likelihood function in a Bayesian analysis. We show that our simulation‐based method is computationally feasible, for both univariate and multivariate models. We assess the performance of the method in a Monte Carlo study. In an empirical study, we analyse U.S. headline inflation using different univariate and multivariate model specifications.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:japmet:v:36:y:2021:i:5:p:614-627
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25