Consequences of war: Japan’s demographic transition and the marriage market

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Population Economics
Year: 2022
Volume: 35
Issue: 3
Pages: 1037-1069

Authors (2)

Kota Ogasawara (not in RePEc) Mizuki Komura (Kwansei Gakuin University)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Abstract This study explores the effects of imbalances in the sex ratio on both the quantity and the quality of children, with a focus on changes in intra-household bargaining power. We first present a theoretical model of intra-household bargaining in the presence of conflicting family goals within a couple, and show that male scarcity (a decrease in the male-to-female sex ratio) induces an increase in the number of children and a decrease in the quality of children. Second, using the impact of World War II on the sex ratio as a quasi-natural experiment, we establish empirically that the decrease in the male-to-female sex ratio in World War II contributed to a smaller decline in fertility and child mortality rates in postwar Japan. In particular, the fertility rate would have fallen by an additional 12% and the child mortality rate by an additional 13% between 1948 and 1970 absent the decrease in the sex ratio.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:spr:jopoec:v:35:y:2022:i:3:d:10.1007_s00148-021-00826-5
Journal Field
Growth
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25