Bubbles, crashes and information contagion in large-group asset market experiments

A-Tier
Journal: Experimental Economics
Year: 2021
Volume: 24
Issue: 2
Pages: 414-433

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Abstract We study the emergence of bubbles in a laboratory experiment with large groups of individuals. The realized price is the aggregation of the forecasts of a group of individuals, with positive expectations feedback through speculative demand. When prices deviate from fundamental value, a random selection of participants receives news about overvaluation. Our findings are: (i) large asset bubbles are robust in large groups, (ii) information contagion through news affects behaviour and may break the coordination on a bubble, (iii) time varying heterogeneity provides an explanation of bubble formation and crashes, and (iv) bubbles are strongly amplified by coordination on trend-extrapolation.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:kap:expeco:v:24:y:2021:i:2:d:10.1007_s10683-020-09664-w
Journal Field
Experimental
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25