Response Surface Regressions for Critical Value Bounds and Approximate p‐values in Equilibrium Correction Models

B-Tier
Journal: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2020
Volume: 82
Issue: 6
Pages: 1456-1481

Authors (2)

Sebastian Kripfganz (University of Exeter) Daniel C. Schneider (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We consider the popular ‘bounds test’ for the existence of a level relationship in conditional equilibrium correction models. By estimating response surface models based on about 95 billion simulated F‐statistics and 57 billion t‐statistics, we improve upon and substantially extend the set of available critical values, covering the full range of possible sample sizes and lag orders, and allowing for any number of long‐run forcing variables. By computing approximate P‐values, we find that the bounds test can be easily oversized by more than 5 percentage points in small samples when using asymptotic critical values.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:obuest:v:82:y:2020:i:6:p:1456-1481
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25