Seasonal Asset Allocation: Evidence from Mutual Fund Flows

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
Year: 2017
Volume: 52
Issue: 1
Pages: 71-109

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We analyze the flow of money between mutual fund categories, finding strong evidence of seasonality in investor risk aversion. Aggregate investor flow data reveal an investor preference for safe mutual funds in autumn and risky funds in spring. During September alone, outflows from equity funds average $13 billion, controlling for previously documented flow determinants (e.g., capital-gains overhang). This movement of large amounts of money between fund categories is correlated with seasonality in investor risk aversion, consistent with investors preferring safer (riskier) investments in autumn (spring). We find consistent evidence in Canada and also in Australia, where seasons are offset by 6 months.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:cup:jfinqa:v:52:y:2017:i:01:p:71-109_00
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25