Cash Flow and Discount Rate Risk in Up and Down Markets: What Is Actually Priced?

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
Year: 2012
Volume: 47
Issue: 6
Pages: 1279-1301

Authors (3)

Botshekan, Mahmoud (not in RePEc) Kraeussl, Roman (not in RePEc) Lucas, Andre (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We test whether asymmetric preferences for losses versus gains affect the prices of cash flow versus discount rate risk. We construct a return decomposition distinguishing cash flow and discount rate betas in up and down markets. Using U.S. data, we find that downside cash flow and discount rate betas carry the largest premia. Downside cash flow risk is priced consistently across different samples, periods, and return decomposition methods. It is the only component of beta with significant out-of-sample predictive ability. Downside cash flow premia mainly occur for small stocks, while large stocks are compensated for symmetric cash-flow-related risk.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:cup:jfinqa:v:47:y:2012:i:06:p:1279-1301_00
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25