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Philip Hans Franses

Global rank #474 99%

Institution: Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam

Primary Field: Econometrics (weighted toward more recent publications)

First Publication: 1991

Most Recent: 2025

RePEc ID: pfr226 ↗

Publication Scores

Scores use coauthorship adjustment: α/n credit per paper, where n = number of authors. α = 2.01: calibrated so average adjusted count equals average raw count (a zero-sum adjustment).

Period S (4x) A (2x) B (1x) C (½x) Total
Last 5 Years 0.00 1.01 1.03 0.00 5.56
Last 10 Years 0.00 1.01 4.38 0.00 9.24
All Time 0.00 14.41 45.27 0.00 92.44

Publication Statistics

Raw Publications 92
Coauthorship-Adjusted Count 96.79

Publications (92)

Year Article Journal Tier Authors
2025 Shrinkage estimators for periodic autoregressions Journal of Econometrics A 2
2025 Forecasting house price growth rates with factor models and spatio-temporal clustering International Journal of Forecasting B 2
2025 Adstock revisited Applied Economics C 1
2023 Are African business cycles synchronized? Evidence from spatio-temporal modeling Economic Modeling C 2
2022 Forecasting: theory and practice International Journal of Forecasting B 80
2022 Interpolation and correlation Applied Economics C 1
2017 Do charities get more when they ask more often? Evidence from a unique field experiment Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics B 3
2017 Modeling intra-seasonal heterogeneity in hourly advertising-response models: Do forecasts improve? International Journal of Forecasting B 3
2017 Estimating loss functions of experts Applied Economics C 3
2016 A note on the Mean Absolute Scaled Error International Journal of Forecasting B 1
2015 Interpreting financial market crashes as earthquakes: A new Early Warning System for medium term crashes Journal of Banking & Finance B 3
2015 Emigration, wage differentials and brain drain: the case of Suriname Applied Economics C 2
2014 EVALUATING MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS: A CONCISE REVIEW OF SOME RECENT DEVELOPMENTS Journal of Economic Surveys C 3
2014 Are individuals in China prone to money illusion? Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics B 2
2013 Analyzing fixed-event forecast revisions International Journal of Forecasting B 4
2013 Data revisions and periodic properties of macroeconomic data Economics Letters C 1
2013 Do statistical forecasting models for SKU-level data benefit from including past expert knowledge? International Journal of Forecasting B 2
2013 Approximating the DGP of China's quarterly GDP Applied Economics C 2
2013 Do commercial real estate prices have predictive content for GDP? Applied Economics C 2
2012 Inequality amongst the wealthiest and its link with economic growth Applied Economics C 2
2011 How accurate are government forecasts of economic fundamentals? The case of Taiwan International Journal of Forecasting B 3
2011 Testing for Seasonal Unit Roots in Monthly Panels of Time Series Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics B 2
2011 One model and various experts: Evaluating Dutch macroeconomic forecasts International Journal of Forecasting B 3
2011 One model and various experts: Evaluating Dutch macroeconomic forecasts International Journal of Forecasting B 3
2011 Model selection for forecast combination Applied Economics C 1
2011 Modelling regional house prices Applied Economics C 4
2010 Cointegration in a historical perspective Journal of Econometrics A 3
2010 Twenty years of cointegration Journal of Econometrics A 3
2010 A UNIFYING VIEW ON MULTI‐STEP FORECASTING USING AN AUTOREGRESSION Journal of Economic Surveys C 2
2009 Properties of expert adjustments on model-based SKU-level forecasts International Journal of Forecasting B 2
2008 Error-correction modelling in discrete and continuous time Economics Letters C 2
2008 Merging models and experts International Journal of Forecasting B 1
2007 Seasonality and non-linear price effects in scanner-data-based market-response models Journal of Econometrics A 3
2007 Modeling the diffusion of scientific publications Journal of Econometrics A 2
2007 Analyzing a panel of seasonal time series: Does seasonality in industrial production converge across Europe? Economic Modeling C 2
2007 On the econometrics of the geometric lag model Economics Letters C 2
2007 Progress and challenges in econometrics Journal of Econometrics A 2
2007 An empirical analysis of euro cash payments European Economic Review B 2
2007 Estimating the stock of postwar Dutch postal stamps Applied Economics C 1
2006 Robust Inference on Average Economic Growth* Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics B 2
2006 Deriving target selection rules from endogenously selected samples Journal of Applied Econometrics B 4
2005 Forecasting aggregates using panels of nonlinear time series International Journal of Forecasting B 3
2005 Does Africa grow slower than Asia, Latin America and the Middle East? Evidence from a new data-based classification method Journal of Development Economics A 3
2005 Testing for common deterministic trend slopes Journal of Econometrics A 2
2005 Consideration sets, intentions and the inclusion of "don't know" in a two-stage model for voter choice International Journal of Forecasting B 6
2005 The forecasting performance of various models for seasonality and nonlinearity for quarterly industrial production International Journal of Forecasting B 2
2005 The M3 competition: Statistical tests of the results International Journal of Forecasting B 4
2005 On the dynamics of business cycle analysis: editors' introduction Journal of Applied Econometrics B 3
2004 Forecasting economic and financial time-series with non-linear models International Journal of Forecasting B 3
2004 Forecasting unemployment using an autoregression with censored latent effects parameters International Journal of Forecasting B 3
2003 Selecting a Nonlinear Time Series Model using Weighted Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy* Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics B 2
2002 Inflation, forecast intervals and long memory regression models International Journal of Forecasting B 3
2002 Constructing Seasonally Adjusted Data with Time‐varying Confidence Intervals Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics B 2
2002 A nonlinear long memory model, with an application to US unemployment Journal of Econometrics A 3
2001 Forecasting market shares from models for sales International Journal of Forecasting B 2
2001 On forecasting cointegrated seasonal time series International Journal of Forecasting B 2
2001 How to deal with intercept and trend in practical cointegration analysis? Applied Economics C 1
2000 Forecasting the levels of vector autoregressive log-transformed time series International Journal of Forecasting B 2
2000 The Econometric Modelling of Financial Time Series: Second Edition, Terence C. Mills, (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1999) 380 pages, Paperback; ISBN 0521-62492-4 ($27.95). Hardback: ISBN 0521-62413-4 ($80.00) International Journal of Forecasting B 1
2000 SETS, arbitrage activity, and stock price dynamics Journal of Banking & Finance B 4
1999 On the Role of Seasonal Intercepts in Seasonal Cointegration Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics B 2
1999 Additive outliers, GARCH and forecasting volatility International Journal of Forecasting B 2
1999 Forecasting long memory left-right political orientations International Journal of Forecasting B 3
1998 ON PHILLIPS–PERRON-TYPE TESTS FOR SEASONAL UNIT ROOTS Econometric Theory B 2
1998 Cointegration Analysis of Seasonal Time Series Journal of Economic Surveys C 2
1998 On the sensitivity of unit root inference to nonlinear data transformations Economics Letters C 2
1998 Outlier robust analysis of long-run marketing effects for weekly scanning data Journal of Econometrics A 3
1998 A model selection strategy for time series with increasing seasonal variation International Journal of Forecasting B 2
1998 On Seasonal Cycles, Unit Roots, And Mean Shifts Review of Economics and Statistics A 2
1997 Multiple unit roots in periodic autoregression Journal of Econometrics A 3
1997 Impulse response functions for periodic integration Economics Letters C 2
1997 Bayesian analysis of seasonal unit roots and seasonal mean shifts Journal of Econometrics A 3
1997 Recognizing changing seasonal patterns using artificial neural networks Journal of Econometrics A 2
1997 A periodic long-memory model for quarterly UK inflation International Journal of Forecasting B 2
1997 Forecasting and seasonality International Journal of Forecasting B 2
1997 Mean shifts, unit roots and forecasting seasonal time series International Journal of Forecasting B 3
1996 Recent Advances in Modelling Seasonality. Journal of Economic Surveys C 1
1996 Unit roots in the Nelson-Plosser data: Do they matter for forecasting? International Journal of Forecasting B 2
1995 Periodic Cointegration: Representation and Inference. Review of Economics and Statistics A 2
1995 Testing for periodic integration Economics Letters C 2
1995 Spurious deterministic seasonality Economics Letters C 3
1994 Model Selection in Periodic Autoregressions. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics B 2
1994 MODEL SELECTION IN PERIODIC AUTOREGRESSIONS Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics B 2
1994 A multivariate approach to modeling univariate seasonal time series Journal of Econometrics A 1
1993 A method to select between periodic cointegration and seasonal cointegration Economics Letters C 1
1993 Periodic integration in quarterly UK macroeconomic variables International Journal of Forecasting B 2
1992 Dynamic Specification and Cointegration. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics B 2
1992 The Norwegian Consumption Function: A Comment. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics B 1
1992 Model adequacy and influential observations Economics Letters C 2
1992 Testing for seasonality Economics Letters C 1
1991 Moving average filters and unit roots Economics Letters C 1
1991 Seasonality, non-stationarity and the forecasting of monthly time series International Journal of Forecasting B 1