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James Morley

Global rank #3108 96%

Institution: University of Sydney

Primary Field: Macro (weighted toward more recent publications)

Homepage: https://sites.google.com/site/jamescmorley/

First Publication: 2002

Most Recent: 2025

RePEc ID: pmo629 ↗

Publication Scores

Scores use coauthorship adjustment: α/n credit per paper, where n = number of authors. α = 2.01: calibrated so average adjusted count equals average raw count (a zero-sum adjustment).

Period S (4x) A (2x) B (1x) C (½x) Total
Last 5 Years 0.00 2.35 2.51 0.00 7.71
Last 10 Years 0.00 3.69 4.52 0.00 13.41
All Time 0.00 8.04 11.90 0.00 30.50

Publication Statistics

Raw Publications 26
Coauthorship-Adjusted Count 25.08

Publications (26)

Year Article Journal Tier Authors
2025 Trend-cycle decomposition in the presence of large shocks Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control B 3
2024 A Simple Correction for Misspecification in Trend-Cycle Decompositions with an Application to Estimating r* Journal of Business & Economic Statistics A 3
2024 Did marginal propensities to consume change with the housing boom and bust? Journal of Applied Econometrics B 3
2023 Does the Survey of Professional Forecasters help predict the shape of recessions in real time? Economics Letters C 2
2023 Nowcasting the output gap Journal of Econometrics A 3
2023 Estimating the euro area output gap using multivariate information and addressing the COVID-19 pandemic European Economic Review B 4
2022 Why Has the U.S. Economy Stagnated since the Great Recession? Review of Economics and Statistics A 2
2021 Estimating household consumption insurance Journal of Applied Econometrics B 3
2020 Estimating and accounting for the output gap with large Bayesian vector autoregressions Journal of Applied Econometrics B 2
2018 Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter Review of Economics and Statistics A 3
2017 Estimating DSGE models with zero interest rate policy Journal of Monetary Economics A 3
2016 MACRO-FINANCE LINKAGES Journal of Economic Surveys C 1
2016 Inventory Shocks and the Great Moderation Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking B 2
2015 Likelihood‐ratio‐based confidence sets for the timing of structural breaks Quantitative Economics B 2
2015 What factors drive the price–rent ratio for the housing market? A modified present-value analysis Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control B 2
2015 The Meta Taylor Rule Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking B 3
2015 Bayesian analysis of nonlinear exchange rate dynamics and the purchasing power parity persistence puzzle Journal of International Money and Finance B 2
2014 Structural evolution of the postwar U.S. economy Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control B 2
2012 The Asymmetric Business Cycle Review of Economics and Statistics A 2
2008 Trend/cycle decomposition of regime-switching processes Journal of Econometrics A 2
2007 In search of the natural rate of unemployment Journal of Monetary Economics A 2
2007 The Slow Adjustment of Aggregate Consumption to Permanent Income Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking B 1
2006 Detecting shift-contagion in currency and bond markets Journal of International Economics A 3
2005 Nonlinearity and the permanent effects of recessions Journal of Applied Econometrics B 3
2003 Why Are the Beveridge-Nelson and Unobserved-Components Decompositions of GDP So Different? Review of Economics and Statistics A 3
2002 A state-space approach to calculating the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition Economics Letters C 1