|
2026
|
Time Averaging Meets Heckman, Lochner, and Taber and Ben-Porath
|
Review of Economic Dynamics
|
B
|
4
|
|
2025
|
Returns to Labour Mobility
|
Economic Journal
|
A
|
3
|
|
2025
|
Costs of Financing U.S. Federal Debt Under a Gold Standard: 1791-1933*
|
Quarterly Journal of Economics
|
S
|
4
|
|
2025
|
Sources of artificial intelligence
|
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
|
B
|
1
|
|
2025
|
Singles, couples, time-averaging, and taxation
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
4
|
|
2025
|
Macroeconomics after Lucas
|
Journal of Political Economy
|
S
|
1
|
|
2024
|
Risk, ambiguity, and misspecification: Decision theory, robust control, and statistics
|
Journal of Applied Econometrics
|
B
|
2
|
|
2024
|
Critique and consequence
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
1
|
|
2023
|
Cross-Phenomenon Restrictions: Unemployment Effects of Layoff Costs and Quit Turbulence
|
Review of Economic Dynamics
|
B
|
3
|
|
2022
|
Structured ambiguity and model misspecification
|
Journal of Economic Theory
|
A
|
2
|
|
2021
|
Inequality, Business Cycles, and Monetary‐Fiscal Policy
|
Econometrica
|
S
|
4
|
|
2021
|
Macroeconomic uncertainty prices when beliefs are tenuous
|
Journal of Econometrics
|
A
|
2
|
|
2021
|
The fundamental surplus strikes again
|
Review of Economic Dynamics
|
B
|
2
|
|
2020
|
Twisted probabilities, uncertainty, and prices
|
Journal of Econometrics
|
A
|
4
|
|
2019
|
Commodity and Token Monies
|
Economic Journal
|
A
|
1
|
|
2018
|
A case for incomplete markets
|
Journal of Economic Theory
|
A
|
5
|
|
2017
|
Public debt in economies with heterogeneous agents
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
4
|
|
2017
|
Fiscal Policy and Debt Management with Incomplete Markets
|
Quarterly Journal of Economics
|
S
|
4
|
|
2017
|
A Life-Cycle Model of Trans-Atlantic Employment Experiences
|
Review of Economic Dynamics
|
B
|
3
|
|
2017
|
The Fundamental Surplus
|
American Economic Review
|
S
|
2
|
|
2015
|
Price-level uncertainty and instability in the United Kingdom
|
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
|
B
|
3
|
|
2015
|
Welfare Cost of Business Cycles with Idiosyncratic Consumption Risk and a Preference for Robustness
|
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
|
A
|
2
|
|
2015
|
Four types of ignorance
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
2
|
|
2015
|
Measuring Price-Level Uncertainty and Instability in the United States, 1850–2012
|
Review of Economics and Statistics
|
A
|
2
|
|
2014
|
Fiscal discriminations in three wars
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
2
|
|
2014
|
Career Length: Effects of Curvature of Earnings Profiles, Earnings Shocks, Taxes, and Social Security
|
Review of Economic Dynamics
|
B
|
2
|
|
2014
|
The evolution of monetary policy rules
|
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
|
B
|
1
|
|
2012
|
Small noise methods for risk-sensitive/robust economies
|
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
|
B
|
3
|
|
2012
|
Market Prices of Risk with Diverse Beliefs, Learning, and Catastrophes
|
American Economic Review
|
S
|
3
|
|
2012
|
A DEFENSE OF THE FOMC
|
International Economic Review
|
B
|
2
|
|
2012
|
Three types of ambiguity
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
2
|
|
2012
|
Nobel Lecture: United States Then, Europe Now
|
Journal of Political Economy
|
S
|
1
|
|
2011
|
Interest Rate Risk and Other Determinants of Post-WWII US Government Debt/GDP Dynamics
|
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
|
A
|
2
|
|
2011
|
Robustness and ambiguity in continuous time
|
Journal of Economic Theory
|
A
|
2
|
|
2011
|
A Labor Supply Elasticity Accord?
|
American Economic Review
|
S
|
2
|
|
2011
|
Two Illustrations of the Quantity Theory of Money: Breakdowns and Revivals
|
American Economic Review
|
S
|
2
|
|
2011
|
Where to Draw Lines: Stability Versus Efficiency
|
Economica
|
C
|
1
|
|
2011
|
Israel 1983: A bout of unpleasant monetarist arithmetic?
|
Review of Economic Dynamics
|
B
|
2
|
|
2010
|
Inflation-Gap Persistence in the US
|
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
|
A
|
3
|
|
2010
|
Robust hidden Markov LQG problems
|
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
|
B
|
3
|
|
2009
|
Doubts or variability?
|
Journal of Economic Theory
|
A
|
3
|
|
2009
|
The Conquest of South American Inflation
|
Journal of Political Economy
|
S
|
3
|
|
2008
|
The market price of risk and the equity premium: A legacy of the Great Depression?
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
2
|
|
2008
|
Robustness and U.S. Monetary Policy Experimentation
|
Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
|
B
|
4
|
|
2008
|
Taxes, benefits, and careers: Complete versus incomplete markets
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
2
|
|
2008
|
Evolution and Intelligent Design
|
American Economic Review
|
S
|
1
|
|
2007
|
ABCs (and Ds) of Understanding VARs
|
American Economic Review
|
S
|
4
|
|
2007
|
Recursive robust estimation and control without commitment
|
Journal of Economic Theory
|
A
|
2
|
|
2007
|
Understanding European unemployment with matching and search-island models
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
2
|
|
2007
|
Understanding European unemployment with a representative family model
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
2
|
|
2007
|
Foreword
|
American Economic Review
|
S
|
1
|
|
2007
|
Benefits from U.S. Monetary Policy Experimentation in the Days of Samuelson and Solow and Lucas
|
Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
|
B
|
3
|
|
2006
|
Introduction to model uncertainty and robustness
|
Journal of Economic Theory
|
A
|
5
|
|
2006
|
Robust control and model misspecification
|
Journal of Economic Theory
|
A
|
4
|
|
2006
|
Shocks and Government Beliefs: The Rise and Fall of American Inflation
|
American Economic Review
|
S
|
3
|
|
2005
|
The conquest of US inflation: Learning and robustness to model uncertainty
|
Review of Economic Dynamics
|
B
|
2
|
|
2005
|
Drift and Volatilities: Monetary Policies and Outcomes in the Post WWII U.S.
|
Review of Economic Dynamics
|
B
|
2
|
|
2005
|
Bayesian fan charts for U.K. inflation: Forecasting and sources of uncertainty in an evolving monetary system
|
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
|
B
|
3
|
|
2005
|
Robust estimation and control under commitment
|
Journal of Economic Theory
|
A
|
2
|
|
2005
|
Knowing the Forecasts of Others
|
Review of Economic Dynamics
|
B
|
2
|
|
2005
|
Impacts of Priors on Convergence and Escapes from Nash Inflation
|
Review of Economic Dynamics
|
B
|
2
|
|
2003
|
Robust control of forward-looking models
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
2
|
|
2002
|
Optimal Taxation without State-Contingent Debt
|
Journal of Political Economy
|
S
|
4
|
|
2002
|
Escaping Nash Inflation
|
Review of Economic Studies
|
S
|
3
|
|
2002
|
Robustness and Pricing with Uncertain Growth
|
The Review of Financial Studies
|
A
|
4
|
|
2001
|
Saving and pension reform in general equilibrium models
|
Oxford Review of Economic Policy
|
C
|
3
|
|
2001
|
Robust Control and Model Uncertainty
|
American Economic Review
|
S
|
2
|
|
2001
|
Acknowledging Misspecification in Macroeconomic Theory
|
Review of Economic Dynamics
|
B
|
2
|
|
1999
|
Projected U.S. Demographics and Social Security
|
Review of Economic Dynamics
|
B
|
3
|
|
1999
|
Robust Permanent Income and Pricing
|
Review of Economic Studies
|
S
|
3
|
|
1999
|
A primer on monetary and fiscal policy
|
Journal of Banking & Finance
|
B
|
1
|
|
1998
|
The European Unemployment Dilemma
|
Journal of Political Economy
|
S
|
2
|
|
1997
|
Coinage, debasements, and Gresham's laws
|
Economic Theory
|
B
|
2
|
|
1996
|
Expectations and the nonneutrality of Lucas
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
1
|
|
1995
|
The Swedish unemployment experience
|
European Economic Review
|
B
|
2
|
|
1995
|
Welfare States and Unemployment.
|
Economic Theory
|
B
|
2
|
|
1995
|
Macroeconomic Features of the French Revolution.
|
Journal of Political Economy
|
S
|
2
|
|
1993
|
On the preservation of deterministic cycles when some agents perceive them to be random fluctuations
|
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
|
B
|
3
|
|
1993
|
Seasonality and approximation errors in rational expectations models
|
Journal of Econometrics
|
A
|
2
|
|
1991
|
Equilibrium with signal extraction from endogenous variables
|
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
|
B
|
1
|
|
1990
|
Money as a medium of exchange in an economy with artificially intelligent agents
|
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
|
B
|
3
|
|
1989
|
Interpreting new evidence about China and U.S. silver purchases
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
2
|
|
1989
|
Convergence of least squares learning mechanisms in self-referential linear stochastic models
|
Journal of Economic Theory
|
A
|
2
|
|
1989
|
Convergence of Least-Squares Learning in Environments with Hidden State Variables and Private Information.
|
Journal of Political Economy
|
S
|
2
|
|
1989
|
Two Models of Measurements and the Investment Accelerator.
|
Journal of Political Economy
|
S
|
1
|
|
1988
|
Straight time and overtime in equilibrium
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
2
|
|
1988
|
Models of business cycles : A review essay
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
2
|
|
1988
|
The Fate of Systems with "Adaptive" Expectations.
|
American Economic Review
|
S
|
2
|
|
1987
|
Irrelevance of Open Market Operations in Some Economies with Government Currency Being Dominated in Rate of Return.
|
American Economic Review
|
S
|
2
|
|
1985
|
Interest on reserves
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
2
|
|
1984
|
Autoregressions, Expectations, and Advice.
|
American Economic Review
|
S
|
1
|
|
1983
|
A model of commodity money
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
2
|
|
1982
|
Instrumental variables procedures for estimating linear rational expectations models
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
2
|
|
1982
|
Beyond Demand and Supply Curves in Macroeconomics.
|
American Economic Review
|
S
|
1
|
|
1982
|
The Real-Bills Doctrine versus the Quantity Theory: A Reconsideration.
|
Journal of Political Economy
|
S
|
2
|
|
1981
|
A note on Wiener-Kolmogorov prediction formulas for rational expectations models
|
Economics Letters
|
C
|
2
|
|
1981
|
Interpreting Economic Time Series.
|
Journal of Political Economy
|
S
|
1
|
|
1980
|
Formulating and estimating dynamic linear rational expectations models
|
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
|
B
|
2
|
|
1979
|
A note on maximum likelihood estimation of the rational expectations model of the term structure
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
1
|
|
1979
|
Causality, Exogeneity, and Natural Rate Models: Reply to C. R. Nelson and B. T. McCallum.
|
Journal of Political Economy
|
S
|
1
|
|
1978
|
A little bit of evidence on the natural rate hypothesis from the U.S.
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
2
|
|
1978
|
Seasonality and portfolio balance under rational expectations
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
2
|
|
1978
|
Rational Expectations, Econometric Exogeneity, and Consumption.
|
Journal of Political Economy
|
S
|
1
|
|
1978
|
Estimation of Dynamic Labor Demand Schedules under Rational Expectations.
|
Journal of Political Economy
|
S
|
1
|
|
1976
|
Rational expectations and the theory of economic policy
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
2
|
|
1976
|
Econometric exogeneity and alternative estimators of portfolio balance schedules for hyperinflations : A note
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
1
|
|
1976
|
Response to Rodney Jacobs
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
1
|
|
1976
|
A Classical Macroeconometric Model for the United States.
|
Journal of Political Economy
|
S
|
1
|
|
1976
|
The Observational Equivalence of Natural and Unnatural Rate Theories of Macroeconomics.
|
Journal of Political Economy
|
S
|
1
|
|
1975
|
The response of interest rates to expected inflation in the MPS model
|
Journal of Monetary Economics
|
A
|
3
|
|
1975
|
"Rational" Expectations, the Optimal Monetary Instrument, and the Optimal Money Supply Rule.
|
Journal of Political Economy
|
S
|
2
|
|
1974
|
The Elasticity of Substitution and Cyclical Behavior of Productivity, Wages, and Labor's Share.
|
American Economic Review
|
S
|
2
|
|
1973
|
Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a Two-Sector Aggregative Model.
|
American Economic Review
|
S
|
2
|
|
1973
|
Rational Expectations, the Real Rate of Interest, and the Natural Rate of Unemployment
|
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity
|
B
|
1
|
|
1973
|
"Rational Expectations": A Correction
|
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity
|
B
|
1
|
|
1972
|
Anticipated Inflation and the Nominal Rate of Interest
|
Quarterly Journal of Economics
|
S
|
1
|
|
1970
|
Money Within the General Framework of the Economic System: Discussion.
|
American Economic Review
|
S
|
1
|
|
1969
|
Commodity Price Expectations and the Interest Rate
|
Quarterly Journal of Economics
|
S
|
1
|