Vehicle ownership restrictions and fertility in Beijing

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Development Economics
Year: 2018
Volume: 135
Issue: C
Pages: 85-96

Authors (4)

Liu, Antung A. (not in RePEc) Linn, Joshua (University of Maryland) Qin, Ping (not in RePEc) Yang, Jun (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper studies the effects of vehicle ownership restrictions on fertility. We examine Beijing's license plate lottery system, which began in 2011 and restricts the number of new and used vehicles people can obtain. Leveraging a randomized survey, we show that one unintended consequence of the vehicle restrictions has been to reduce the number of births in the households of lottery entrants between 2011 and 2014. The vehicle restrictions reduce births in households of lottery participants by 35 percent, implying a remarkable 6 percent reduction in births across the entire city. We report changes in household structure and age composition consistent with this change in births.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:deveco:v:135:y:2018:i:c:p:85-96
Journal Field
Development
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25