Information rigidity in growth forecasts: Some cross-country evidence

B-Tier
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting
Year: 2013
Volume: 29
Issue: 4
Pages: 605-621

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We document information rigidity in forecasts of real GDP growth in 46 countries over the past two decades. We also investigate: (i) whether rigidities differ across countries, particularly between advanced countries and emerging markets; (ii) whether rigidities are lower around turning points in the economy, such as in times of recessions and crises; and (iii) how quickly forecasters incorporate news about growth in other countries into their growth forecasts, with a focus on the way in which advanced countries’ growth forecasts incorporate news about emerging market growth, and vice versa.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:intfor:v:29:y:2013:i:4:p:605-621
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25