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Herman O. Stekler

Global rank #373 99%

Institution: Unknown

Primary Field: Econometrics (weighted toward more recent publications)

First Publication: 1959

Most Recent: 2020

RePEc ID: pst377 ↗

Publication Scores

Scores use coauthorship adjustment: α/n credit per paper, where n = number of authors. α = 2.01: calibrated so average adjusted count equals average raw count (a zero-sum adjustment).

Period S (4x) A (2x) B (1x) C (½x) Total
Last 5 Years 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Last 10 Years 0.00 0.00 1.68 0.00 1.68
All Time 8.04 4.02 54.80 0.00 101.88

Publication Statistics

Raw Publications 61
Coauthorship-Adjusted Count 80.95

Publications (61)

Year Article Journal Tier Authors
2020 A textual analysis of Bank of England growth forecasts International Journal of Forecasting B 3
2016 Evaluating qualitative forecasts: The FOMC minutes, 2006–2010 International Journal of Forecasting B 2
2015 Evaluating a vector of the Fed’s forecasts International Journal of Forecasting B 3
2014 Interpreting and evaluating CESIfo's World Economic Survey directional forecasts Economic Modeling C 3
2013 Information rigidity in growth forecasts: Some cross-country evidence International Journal of Forecasting B 3
2013 Examining the quality of early GDP component estimates International Journal of Forecasting B 2
2012 Jointly evaluating the Federal Reserve’s forecasts of GDP growth and inflation International Journal of Forecasting B 4
2010 Evaluating National Football League draft choices: The passing game International Journal of Forecasting B 4
2010 Can the Fed predict the state of the economy? Economics Letters C 3
2010 Directional forecasts of GDP and inflation: a joint evaluation with an application to Federal Reserve predictions Applied Economics C 3
2010 Sports forecasting International Journal of Forecasting B 2
2010 Issues in sports forecasting International Journal of Forecasting B 3
2009 Measuring consensus in binary forecasts: NFL game predictions International Journal of Forecasting B 3
2009 Forecast evaluation of AveAve forecasts in the global VAR context International Journal of Forecasting B 2
2007 The comparative accuracy of judgmental and model forecasts of American football games International Journal of Forecasting B 3
2007 Introduction to "The future of macroeconomic forecasting" International Journal of Forecasting B 2
2007 The future of macroeconomic forecasting: Understanding the forecasting process International Journal of Forecasting B 1
2007 Significance tests harm progress in forecasting: Comment International Journal of Forecasting B 1
2006 Testing the efficiency of the National Football League betting market Applied Economics C 3
2006 Ray C. Fair, Estimating How the Economy Works, Harvard University Press, Cambridge MA, USA (2004) ISBN 0674-01546-0 295 pp., $65. International Journal of Forecasting B 1
2005 The M3 competition: Statistical tests of the results International Journal of Forecasting B 4
2003 Predicting the outcomes of National Football League games International Journal of Forecasting B 2
2003 Improving our ability to predict the unusual event International Journal of Forecasting B 1
2003 Diagnostics for evaluating the value and rationality of economic forecasts International Journal of Forecasting B 2
2001 Irrational Exuberance: Robert Shiller, Princeton University Press, Princeton, 2000. Hardcover, 296 pages, ISBN 0-691-05062-7, $27.95. International Journal of Forecasting B 1
2000 The term spread as a monthly cyclical indicator: an evaluation Economics Letters C 2
2000 An evaluation of the predictions of the Federal Reserve International Journal of Forecasting B 2
2000 Book review International Journal of Forecasting B 1
1999 Are sports seedings good predictors?: an evaluation International Journal of Forecasting B 2
1999 Why did forecasters fail to predict the 1990 recession? International Journal of Forecasting B 2
1998 Data revisions and forecasting Applied Economics C 2
1997 Diagnosing unemployment : Edmond Malinvaud, (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1994), pp. 156, $34.95, ISBN 0-521-44533-7 International Journal of Forecasting B 1
1996 Is there a consensus among financial forecasters? International Journal of Forecasting B 2
1995 Modeling fully employed economies Economic Modeling C 2
1995 Kiplinger's looking ahead: 70 years of forecasts from the Kiplinger Washington letter : 1993, (Kiplinger Books, Washington, DC) $29.95, ISBN 0-938721-31-3 International Journal of Forecasting B 1
1994 Business cycles, indicators, and forecasting : James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson, (eds.), 1994, National Bureau of Economic Research, studies in business cycles, vol. 28, (University of Chicago pres International Journal of Forecasting B 1
1994 Dating turning points in the business cycle: Michael D. Boldin, Journal of business, 67, 97-131 International Journal of Forecasting B 1
1994 Introduction International Journal of Forecasting B 2
1993 Are economic forecasts significantly better than naive predictions? An appropriate test International Journal of Forecasting B 2
1993 Forecasting elections : Michael S. Lewis-Beck and Tom W. Rice, 1992, (CQ Press, Washington, DC), 163 pp., paperback $18.95, ISBN 0-8718 7-600-0 International Journal of Forecasting B 1
1992 Comparative performance of U.S. econometric models : Lawrence R. Klein, (ed.), (Oxford University Press, New York, 1991) pp. 325, $45.00 International Journal of Forecasting B 1
1991 Do consensus forecasts exist? International Journal of Forecasting B 2
1991 Market and survey forecasts of the three-month treasury bill rate : R.W. Hafer, Scott E. Hein and S. Scott MacDonald, Journal of Business (1991) forthcoming. International Journal of Forecasting B 1
1991 Macroeconomic forecast evaluation techniques International Journal of Forecasting B 1
1990 Forecasting industrial bottlenecks : An analysis of alternative approaches Economic Modeling C 1
1990 Forecasting methods for management : Spyros Makridakis and Steven C. Wheelwright, Fifth Edition (Wiley, New York, 1989), pp. 470, $52.95 (hard), $27.15, [UK pound]15.95 (soft). International Journal of Forecasting B 1
1989 Econometrics and structural change : Lyle D. Broemeling and Hiroki Tsurumi, (Marcel Dekker, New York, 1987) pp. 266, $59.75 International Journal of Forecasting B 1
1988 Who forecasts better? : Herman O. Stekler, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 5 (1987) 155-158 International Journal of Forecasting B 1
1983 A regional forecasting model for construction activity Regional Science and Urban Economics B 2
1981 Employment impact of public construction Economics Letters C 2
1980 Forecasts of a regional construction model : An evaluation Economics Letters C 2
1979 Data revisions in the U.S. international transactions statistics Economics Letters C 2
1979 Forecasts of construction activity for states Economics Letters C 2
1976 repec:bla:econom:v:43:y:1976:i:171:p:275-86 Economica C 1
1976 Economic forecasting and contracyclical stabilization policy Journal of Public Economics A 1
1976 Optimal Stabilization Policies for Deterministic and Stochastic Linear Systems: Comments Review of Economic Studies S 2
1974 An Analysis of Turning Point Forecasts: A Polite Reply. American Economic Review S 1
1972 An Analysis of Turning Point Forecasts. American Economic Review S 1
1969 Evaluation of Econometric Inventory Forecasts. Review of Economics and Statistics A 1
1960 Dealer-Manufacturer Relationship in the Automobile Industry: Comment Quarterly Journal of Economics S 1
1959 Forecasting Industrial Production--Leading Series versus Autoregression Journal of Political Economy S 2