Do measures of risk attitude in the laboratory predict behavior under risk in and outside of the laboratory?

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Risk and Uncertainty
Year: 2020
Volume: 60
Issue: 2
Pages: 99-123

Authors (4)

Gary Charness (not in RePEc) Thomas Garcia (not in RePEc) Theo Offerman (not in RePEc) Marie Claire Villeval (Institute of Labor Economics (...)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Abstract We consider the external validity of laboratory measures of risk attitude. Based on a large-scale experiment using a representative panel of the Dutch population, we test if these measures can explain two different types of behavior: (i) behavior in laboratory risky financial decisions, and (ii) behavior in naturally-occurring field behavior under risk (financial, health and employment decisions). We find that measures of risk attitude are related to behavior in laboratory financial decisions and the most complex measures are outperformed by simpler measures. However, measures of risk attitude are not related to risk-taking in the field, calling into question the methods currently used for the purpose of measuring actual risk preferences. We conclude that while the external validity of measures of risk attitude holds in closely related frameworks, this validity is compromised in more remote settings.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:kap:jrisku:v:60:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s11166-020-09325-6
Journal Field
Theory
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25