Climate uncertainty and carbon emissions prices: The relative roles of transition and physical climate risks

C-Tier
Journal: Economics Letters
Year: 2022
Volume: 217
Issue: C

Authors (3)

Ozturk, Serda Selin (not in RePEc) Demirer, Riza (not in RePEc) Gupta, Rangan (University of Pretoria)

Score contribution per author:

0.335 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This study examines the role of climate uncertainty on carbon emissions price dynamics using novel measures of uncertainty that capture transitional and physical climate risks. Applying a multivariate stochastic volatility model to daily European Union Allowance prices, we show that climate uncertainty indeed serves as a significant driver of price fluctuations in emissions prices with physical climate risks associated with uncertainty surrounding natural hazards playing a more dominant role over policy uncertainty in recent years. While our findings highlight the growing role of public concern over global warming and climate hazards than policy aspects as a driver of pricing dynamics in the emissions market, our findings present an interesting opening for hedging strategies towards attaining decarbonization goals in investment positions.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecolet:v:217:y:2022:i:c:s0165176522002324
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25