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Rangan Gupta

Global rank #922 98%

Institution: University of Pretoria

Primary Field: Energy (weighted toward more recent publications)

Homepage: https://sites.google.com/site/ranganguptaeconomics/

First Publication: 2009

Most Recent: 2025

RePEc ID: pgu80 ↗

Publication Scores

Scores use coauthorship adjustment: α/n credit per paper, where n = number of authors. α = 2.01: calibrated so average adjusted count equals average raw count (a zero-sum adjustment).

Period S (4x) A (2x) B (1x) C (½x) Total
Last 5 Years 0.00 4.36 1.17 0.00 12.90
Last 10 Years 0.00 12.74 3.69 0.00 41.00
All Time 0.00 18.40 7.21 0.00 66.02

Publication Statistics

Raw Publications 103
Coauthorship-Adjusted Count 69.94

Publications (103)

Year Article Journal Tier Authors
2025 Supply chain constraints and the predictability of the conditional distribution of international stock market returns and volatility Economics Letters C 4
2025 Oil price shocks and the connectedness of US state-level financial markets Energy Economics A 4
2025 On the propagation mechanism of international real interest rate spillovers: evidence from more than 200 years of data Applied Economics C 4
2024 How connected is the oil-bank network? Firm-level and high-frequency evidence Energy Economics A 4
2024 Extreme weather shocks and state-level inflation of the United States Economics Letters C 4
2024 Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns Energy Economics A 3
2024 Forecasting stock market volatility with regime-switching GARCH-MIDAS: The role of geopolitical risks International Journal of Forecasting B 3
2023 Forecasting national recessions of the United States with state-level climate risks: Evidence from model averaging in Markov-switching models Economics Letters C 3
2022 Can monetary policy lean against housing bubbles? Economic Modeling C 4
2022 The effects of climate risks on economic activity in a panel of US states: The role of uncertainty Economics Letters C 3
2022 Persistence of state-level uncertainty of the United States: The role of climate risks Economics Letters C 3
2022 Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty? Energy Economics A 4
2022 Climate uncertainty and carbon emissions prices: The relative roles of transition and physical climate risks Economics Letters C 3
2022 Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks Energy Economics A 4
2022 Global financial cycle and the predictability of oil market volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS model Energy Economics A 3
2021 Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs? Energy Economics A 4
2021 Income inequality and oil resources: Panel evidence from the United States Energy Policy B 4
2021 Bitcoin mining activity and volatility dynamics in the power market Economics Letters C 3
2021 The Taylor curve: international evidence Applied Economics C 3
2021 OPEC news and jumps in the oil market Energy Economics A 4
2020 Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks International Journal of Forecasting B 3
2020 Forecasting core inflation: the case of South Africa Applied Economics C 4
2020 Moments-based spillovers across gold and oil markets Energy Economics A 4
2020 Does real U.K. GDP have a unit root? Evidence from a multi-century perspective Applied Economics C 4
2020 The role of real estate uncertainty in predicting US home sales growth: evidence from a quantiles-based Bayesian model averaging approach Applied Economics C 3
2020 Cross-border capital flows and return dynamics in emerging stock markets: Relative roles of equity and debt flows Journal of International Money and Finance B 4
2020 The impact of macroeconomic factors on income inequality: Evidence from the BRICS Economic Modeling C 3
2020 Forecasting economic policy uncertainty of BRIC countries using Bayesian VARs Economics Letters C 2
2020 Gold-oil dependence dynamics and the role of geopolitical risks: Evidence from a Markov-switching time-varying copula model Energy Economics A 4
2020 Price and volatility linkages between international REITs and oil markets Energy Economics A 4
2020 The impacts of structural oil shocks on macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from a large panel of 45 countries Energy Economics A 3
2020 Forecasting realized oil-price volatility: The role of financial stress and asymmetric loss Journal of International Money and Finance B 3
2019 Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market Economics Letters C 3
2019 Is there a role for uncertainty in forecasting output growth in OECD countries? Evidence from a time-varying parameter-panel vector autoregressive model Applied Economics C 4
2019 Persistence of economic uncertainty: a comprehensive analysis Applied Economics C 3
2018 Dynamic connectedness of uncertainty across developed economies: A time-varying approach Economics Letters C 4
2018 Causal effects of the United States and Japan on Pacific-Rim stock markets: nonparametric quantile causality approach Applied Economics C 4
2018 Spillovers between Bitcoin and other assets during bear and bull markets Applied Economics C 4
2018 Date stamping historical periods of oil price explosivity: 1876–2014 Energy Economics A 3
2018 Presidential cycles and time-varying bond–stock market correlations: Evidence from more than two centuries of data Economics Letters C 2
2018 Oil returns and volatility: The role of mergers and acquisitions Energy Economics A 4
2018 Time-varying rare disaster risks, oil returns and volatility Energy Economics A 4
2018 On the transmission mechanism of country-specific and international economic uncertainty spillovers: Evidence from a TVP-VAR connectedness decomposition approach Economics Letters C 2
2017 Can volume predict Bitcoin returns and volatility? A quantiles-based approach Economic Modeling C 4
2017 Common cycles and common trends in the stock and oil markets: Evidence from more than 150years of data Energy Economics A 3
2017 Long memory, economic policy uncertainty and forecasting US inflation: a Bayesian VARFIMA approach Applied Economics C 3
2017 The role of oil prices in the forecasts of South African interest rates: A Bayesian approach Energy Economics A 2
2017 Forecasting oil and stock returns with a Qual VAR using over 150years off data Energy Economics A 2
2017 Oil price shocks and China's economy: Reactions of the monetary policy to oil price shocks Energy Economics A 4
2017 Forecasting inflation in an inflation targeting economy: structural versus nonstructural models Applied Economics C 1
2016 Research output and economic growth in G7 countries: new evidence from asymmetric panel causality testing Applied Economics C 5
2016 Time-frequency relationship between US output with commodity and asset prices Applied Economics C 3
2016 Uncertainty and crude oil returns Energy Economics A 3
2016 Dynamic Spillovers in the United States: Stock Market, Housing, Uncertainty, and the Macroeconomy Southern Economic Journal C 3
2016 Is inflation persistence different in reality? Economics Letters C 4
2016 Forecasting South African inflation using non-linearmodels: a weighted loss-based evaluation Applied Economics C 4
2016 A non-linear approach for predicting stock returns and volatility with the use of investor sentiment indices Applied Economics C 3
2016 Persistence, mean reversion and non-linearities in the US housing prices over 1830--2013 Applied Economics C 3
2016 On international uncertainty links: BART-based empirical evidence for Canada Economics Letters C 3
2016 Forecasting crude oil price volatility and value-at-risk: Evidence from historical and recent data Energy Economics A 3
2016 Inflation forecasts and forecaster herding: Evidence from South African survey data Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics B 3
2016 Forecasting US consumer price index: does nonlinearity matter? Applied Economics C 2
2015 Energy efficiency of selected OECD countries: A slacks based model with undesirable outputs Energy Economics A 5
2015 Forecasting macroeconomic data for an emerging market with a nonlinear DSGE model Economic Modeling C 3
2015 Regime switching model of US crude oil and stock market prices: 1859 to 2013 Energy Economics A 3
2015 The out-of-sample forecasting performance of nonlinear models of regional housing prices in the US Applied Economics C 3
2015 Was the recent downturn in US real GDP predictable? Applied Economics C 4
2015 Predicting stock returns and volatility using consumption-aggregate wealth ratios: A nonlinear approach Economics Letters C 2
2015 Oil price forecastability and economic uncertainty Economics Letters C 3
2015 Is there an Environmental Kuznets Curve for South Africa? A co-summability approach using a century of data Energy Economics A 3
2015 Are house prices in South Africa really nonstationary? Evidence from SPSM-based panel KSS test with a Fourier function Applied Economics C 3
2015 Do we need a global VAR model to forecast inflation and output in South Africa? Applied Economics C 3
2015 Convergence of greenhouse gas emissions among G7 countries Applied Economics C 3
2015 Trends and cycles in historical gold and silver prices Journal of International Money and Finance B 3
2015 Do sunspot numbers cause global temperatures? Evidence from a frequency domain causality test Applied Economics C 3
2015 Forecasting the U.S. real house price index Economic Modeling C 4
2015 US inflation dynamics on long-range data Applied Economics C 4
2015 Has oil price predicted stock returns for over a century? Energy Economics A 2
2015 Oil prices and financial stress: A volatility spillover analysis Energy Policy B 3
2015 DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa Applied Economics C 4
2015 Forecasting the price of gold Applied Economics C 4
2015 Volatility transmission between Islamic and conventional equity markets: evidence from causality-in-variance test Applied Economics C 3
2015 Forecasting US real house price returns over 1831-2013: evidence from copula models Applied Economics C 2
2014 Dutch disease effect of oil rents on agriculture value added in Middle East and North African (MENA) countries Energy Economics A 5
2014 Testing for persistence in housing price-to-income and price-to-rent ratios in 16 OECD countries Applied Economics C 3
2014 Housing and the Great Depression Applied Economics C 3
2014 Time-varying linkages between tourism receipts and economic growth in South Africa Applied Economics C 4
2014 Tax evasion, financial development and inflation: Theory and empirical evidence Journal of Banking & Finance B 3
2014 The nexus of electricity consumption, economic growth and CO2 emissions in the BRICS countries Energy Policy B 4
2014 Persistence and cycles in historical oil price data Energy Economics A 2
2014 Oil price uncertainty and manufacturing production Energy Economics A 4
2013 Is the relationship between monetary policy and house prices asymmetric across bull and bear markets in South Africa? Evidence from a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model Economic Modeling C 5
2013 Macroeconomic Variables and South African Stock Return Predictability Economic Modeling C 2
2013 A DSGE-VAR model for forecasting key South African macroeconomic variables Economic Modeling C 2
2013 Does the source of oil price shocks matter for South African stock returns? A structural VAR approach Energy Economics A 2
2013 Forecasting house prices for the four census regions and the aggregate US economy in a data-rich environment Applied Economics C 1
2012 South African stock return predictability in the context data mining: The role of financial variables and international stock returns Economic Modeling C 2
2012 Structural breaks and GARCH models of stock return volatility: The case of South Africa Economic Modeling C 4
2011 An in-sample and out-of-sample empirical investigation of the nonlinearity in house prices of South Africa Economic Modeling C 3
2011 Forecasting the US real house price index: Structural and non-structural models with and without fundamentals Economic Modeling C 3
2011 A large factor model for forecasting macroeconomic variables in South Africa International Journal of Forecasting B 2
2010 The effect of monetary policy on real house price growth in South Africa: A factor-augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) approach Economic Modeling C 3
2009 Linking global economic dynamics to a South African-specific credit risk correlation model Economic Modeling C 3