The power of sunspots: An experimental analysis

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year: 2019
Volume: 103
Issue: C
Pages: 123-136

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In an experiment using a coordination game with extrinsic random signals (“sunspots”), we systematically vary the stochastic process generating these signals and measure how signals affect behavior. We find that sunspot equilibria emerge naturally with salient public signals. However, highly correlated private signals can also lead to sunspot-driven behavior, even when this is not an equilibrium. Private signals reduce the power of public signals as sunspot variables. The higher the correlation of extrinsic signals and the more easily they can be aggregated, the more powerful these signals are in distracting actions from the action that minimizes strategic uncertainty.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:moneco:v:103:y:2019:i:c:p:123-136
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25