Limit Points of Endogenous Misspecified Learning

S-Tier
Journal: Econometrica
Year: 2021
Volume: 89
Issue: 3
Pages: 1065-1098

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We study how an agent learns from endogenous data when their prior belief is misspecified. We show that only uniform Berk–Nash equilibria can be long‐run outcomes, and that all uniformly strict Berk–Nash equilibria have an arbitrarily high probability of being the long‐run outcome for some initial beliefs. When the agent believes the outcome distribution is exogenous, every uniformly strict Berk–Nash equilibrium has positive probability of being the long‐run outcome for any initial belief. We generalize these results to settings where the agent observes a signal before acting.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:emetrp:v:89:y:2021:i:3:p:1065-1098
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25