Labor Market Returns to the GED Using Regression Discontinuity Analysis

S-Tier
Journal: Journal of Political Economy
Year: 2016
Volume: 124
Issue: 3
Pages: 621 - 649

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We evaluate returns to General Educational Development (GED) certification for high school dropouts using state administrative data. We apply a fuzzy regression discontinuity method to account for test takers retaking the test. For women we find that GED certification has no statistically significant effect on either employment or earnings. For men we find a significant increase in earnings in the second year after taking the test but no impact in subsequent years. GED certification increases postsecondary school enrollment by 4-8 percentage points. Our results differ from regression discontinuity approaches that fail to account for test retaking.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ucp:jpolec:doi:10.1086/686245
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25