|
2025
|
An Investigation into the Uncertainty Revision Process of Professional Forecasters
|
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
|
B
|
3
|
|
2025
|
Inconsistent survey histograms and point forecasts revisited
|
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization
|
B
|
1
|
|
2024
|
How local is the local inflation factor? Evidence from emerging European countries
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
2
|
|
2024
|
Do professional forecasters believe in the Phillips curve?
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
1
|
|
2024
|
Survey expectations and adjustments for multiple testing
|
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization
|
B
|
1
|
|
2023
|
Forecasting GDP growth rates in the United States and Brazil using Google Trends
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
3
|
|
2023
|
Density forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressive models under macroeconomic data uncertainty
|
Journal of Applied Econometrics
|
B
|
2
|
|
2022
|
Forecasting: theory and practice
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
80
|
|
2022
|
Individual forecaster perceptions of the persistence of shocks to GDP
|
Journal of Applied Econometrics
|
B
|
1
|
|
2022
|
Forecaster Efficiency, Accuracy, and Disagreement: Evidence Using Individual‐Level Survey Data
|
Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
|
B
|
1
|
|
2021
|
Measuring the effects of expectations shocks
|
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
|
B
|
2
|
|
2021
|
Do survey joiners and leavers differ from regular participants? The US SPF GDP growth and inflation forecasts
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
1
|
|
2021
|
Rounding behaviour of professional macro-forecasters
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
1
|
|
2020
|
Forecasting and forecast narratives: The Bank of England Inflation Reports
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
2
|
|
2019
|
Do forecasters target first or later releases of national accounts data?
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
1
|
|
2018
|
Are macroeconomic density forecasts informative?
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
1
|
|
2018
|
Do Macroforecasters Herd?
|
Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
|
B
|
1
|
|
2017
|
Model and survey estimates of the term structure of US macroeconomic uncertainty
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
2
|
|
2017
|
Predicting Early Data Revisions to U.S. GDP and the Effects of Releases on Equity Markets
|
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
|
A
|
2
|
|
2017
|
Assessing Macro Uncertainty in Real-Time When Data Are Subject To Revision
|
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
|
A
|
1
|
|
2016
|
Long-run restrictions and survey forecasts of output, consumption and investment
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
1
|
|
2015
|
Forecasting with Bayesian multivariate vintage-based VARs
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
3
|
|
2015
|
Robust approaches to forecasting
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
3
|
|
2015
|
Are Professional Macroeconomic Forecasters Able To Do Better Than Forecasting Trends?
|
Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
|
B
|
1
|
|
2014
|
Probability distributions or point predictions? Survey forecasts of US output growth and inflation
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
1
|
|
2014
|
Forecast Uncertainty-Ex Ante and Ex Post: U.S. Inflation and Output Growth
|
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
|
A
|
1
|
|
2013
|
Forecasting by factors, by variables, by both or neither?
|
Journal of Econometrics
|
A
|
3
|
|
2013
|
Forecasting with vector autoregressive models of data vintages: US output growth and inflation
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
2
|
|
2013
|
Real‐time Forecasting of Inflation and Output Growth with Autoregressive Models in the Presence of Data Revisions
|
Journal of Applied Econometrics
|
B
|
2
|
|
2012
|
Do professional forecasters pay attention to data releases?
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
1
|
|
2012
|
Improving Real-Time Estimates of Output and Inflation Gaps With Multiple-Vintage Models
|
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
|
A
|
2
|
|
2011
|
Combining probability forecasts
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
2
|
|
2011
|
Combining probability forecasts
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
2
|
|
2011
|
An Empirical Investigation of the Effects of Rounding on the SPF Probabilities of Decline and Output Growth Histograms
|
Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
|
B
|
1
|
|
2010
|
Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents' forecasts
|
European Economic Review
|
B
|
1
|
|
2010
|
First announcements and real economic activity
|
European Economic Review
|
B
|
2
|
|
2009
|
Forecasting returns and risk in financial markets using linear and nonlinear models
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
3
|
|
2009
|
Comments on "Forecasting economic and financial variables with global VARs"
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
1
|
|
2009
|
Forecasting US output growth using leading indicators: an appraisal using MIDAS models
|
Journal of Applied Econometrics
|
B
|
2
|
|
2008
|
Consensus and uncertainty: Using forecast probabilities of output declines
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
1
|
|
2008
|
Quantile forecasts of daily exchange rate returns from forecasts of realized volatility
|
Journal of Empirical Finance
|
C
|
3
|
|
2005
|
Guest Editors’ Introduction: Information in Economic Forecasting
|
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
|
B
|
2
|
|
2005
|
Evaluating a Model by Forecast Performance*
|
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
|
B
|
2
|
|
2005
|
Forecasting Quarterly Aggregate Crime Series
|
The Manchester School
|
C
|
2
|
|
2004
|
Forecasting economic and financial time-series with non-linear models
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
3
|
|
2004
|
A comparison of tests of nonlinear cointegration with application to the predictability of US interest rates using the term structure
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
2
|
|
2003
|
Economic forecasting: some lessons from recent research
|
Economic Modeling
|
C
|
2
|
|
2003
|
Some possible directions for future research
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
1
|
|
2003
|
Testing the Expectations Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in Threshold Models
|
Macroeconomic Dynamics
|
C
|
2
|
|
2002
|
Evaluating multivariate forecast densities: a comparison of two approaches
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
2
|
|
2002
|
Comments on 'The state of macroeconomic forecasting'
|
Journal of Macroeconomics
|
C
|
1
|
|
2001
|
Bootstrapping prediction intervals for autoregressive models
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
2
|
|
2001
|
Evaluating forecasts from SETAR models of exchange rates
|
Journal of International Money and Finance
|
B
|
2
|
|
1998
|
Forecasting economic processes
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
2
|
|
1997
|
An empirical study of seasonal unit roots in forecasting
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
2
|
|
1997
|
The performance of alternative forecasting methods for SETAR models
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
2
|
|
1996
|
Multi-step Estimation for Forecasting.
|
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
|
B
|
2
|
|
1991
|
Empirical analysis of macroeconomic time series : VAR and structural models
|
European Economic Review
|
B
|
2
|
|
1987
|
The World and UK Economy: Analysis and Prospects.
|
Oxford Review of Economic Policy
|
C
|
3
|
|
1987
|
The UK Economy: Analysis and Prospects.
|
Oxford Review of Economic Policy
|
C
|
3
|
|
1986
|
The World Economy: Analysis and Prospects.
|
Oxford Review of Economic Policy
|
C
|
2
|
|
1986
|
The UK Economy: Analysis and Prospects.
|
Oxford Review of Economic Policy
|
C
|
2
|
|
1986
|
The UK Economy: Analysis and Prospects.
|
Oxford Review of Economic Policy
|
C
|
2
|
|
1986
|
The UK Economy: Analysis and Prospects.
|
Oxford Review of Economic Policy
|
C
|
2
|