|
2025
|
Does economic uncertainty predict real activity in real time?
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
2
|
|
2025
|
Slow Expectation–Maximization Convergence in Low‐Noise Dynamic Factor Models
|
Journal of Applied Econometrics
|
B
|
2
|
|
2024
|
Accelerating peak dating in a dynamic factor Markov-switching model
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
2
|
|
2023
|
Moments, shocks and spillovers in Markov-switching VAR models
|
Journal of Econometrics
|
A
|
2
|
|
2021
|
Closed-Form Multi-Factor Copula Models With Observation-Driven Dynamic Factor Loadings
|
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
|
A
|
4
|
|
2018
|
New HEAVY Models for Fat-Tailed Realized Covariances and Returns
|
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
|
A
|
4
|
|
2016
|
Getting the most out of macroeconomic information for predicting excess stock returns
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
2
|
|
2016
|
Nonlinear forecasting with many predictors using kernel ridge regression
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
4
|
|
2015
|
Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: Utilizing hourly prices
|
Energy Economics
|
A
|
3
|
|
2014
|
Identifying Changes in Mean, Seasonality, Persistence and Volatility for G7 and Euro Area Inflation
|
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
|
B
|
4
|
|
2014
|
Comparing the accuracy of multivariate density forecasts in selected regions of the copula support
|
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
|
B
|
4
|
|
2014
|
Speed, algorithmic trading, and market quality around macroeconomic news announcements
|
Journal of Banking & Finance
|
B
|
3
|
|
2013
|
Structural Breaks in the International Dynamics of Inflation
|
Review of Economics and Statistics
|
A
|
4
|
|
2013
|
Measuring and predicting heterogeneous recessions
|
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
|
B
|
3
|
|
2013
|
When Do Managers Seek Private Equity Backing in Public-to-Private Transactions?
|
Review of Finance
|
B
|
4
|
|
2012
|
Structural differences in economic growth: an endogenous clustering approach
|
Applied Economics
|
C
|
3
|
|
2011
|
Likelihood-based scoring rules for comparing density forecasts in tails
|
Journal of Econometrics
|
A
|
3
|
|
2011
|
Modelling regional house prices
|
Applied Economics
|
C
|
4
|
|
2011
|
Real-time macroeconomic forecasting with leading indicators: An empirical comparison
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
3
|
|
2011
|
Real-time macroeconomic forecasting with leading indicators: An empirical comparison
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
3
|
|
2010
|
Cointegration in a historical perspective
|
Journal of Econometrics
|
A
|
3
|
|
2010
|
Twenty years of cointegration
|
Journal of Econometrics
|
A
|
3
|
|
2010
|
Out-of-sample comparison of copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts
|
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
|
B
|
3
|
|
2009
|
Forecasting returns and risk in financial markets using linear and nonlinear models
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
3
|
|
2009
|
Forecasting S&P 500 volatility: Long memory, level shifts, leverage effects, day-of-the-week seasonality, and macroeconomic announcements
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
3
|
|
2009
|
Contagion as a domino effect in global stock markets
|
Journal of Banking & Finance
|
B
|
3
|
|
2009
|
Instability and Nonlinearity in the Euro-Area Phillips Curve
|
International Journal of Central Banking
|
B
|
3
|
|
2009
|
The economic value of fundamental and technical information in emerging currency markets
|
Journal of International Money and Finance
|
B
|
4
|
|
2008
|
Macroeconomic forecasting with matched principal components
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
3
|
|
2007
|
A unified approach to nonlinearity, structural change, and outliers
|
Journal of Econometrics
|
A
|
3
|
|
2007
|
Measuring volatility with the realized range
|
Journal of Econometrics
|
A
|
2
|
|
2006
|
Paul D. McNelis, Neural networks in finance--gaining predictive edge in the market, Elsevier Academic Press (2005) ISBN 0-12-485967-4 hardcover, 243 pages.
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
1
|
|
2005
|
Forecasting aggregates using panels of nonlinear time series
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
3
|
|
2005
|
Does Africa grow slower than Asia, Latin America and the Middle East? Evidence from a new data-based classification method
|
Journal of Development Economics
|
A
|
3
|
|
2005
|
The forecasting performance of various models for seasonality and nonlinearity for quarterly industrial production
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
2
|
|
2005
|
On the dynamics of business cycle analysis: editors' introduction
|
Journal of Applied Econometrics
|
B
|
3
|
|
2005
|
Linear models, smooth transition autoregressions, and neural networks for forecasting macroeconomic time series: A re-examination
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
3
|
|
2005
|
Reply
|
International Journal of Forecasting
|
B
|
3
|
|
2005
|
Testing for causality in variance in the presence of breaks
|
Economics Letters
|
C
|
3
|
|
2004
|
Testing for Volatility Changes in U.S. Macroeconomic Time Series
|
Review of Economics and Statistics
|
A
|
2
|
|
2003
|
Selecting a Nonlinear Time Series Model using Weighted Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy*
|
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
|
B
|
2
|
|
2002
|
A nonlinear long memory model, with an application to US unemployment
|
Journal of Econometrics
|
A
|
3
|
|
2002
|
Can Tests for Stochastic Unit Roots Provide Useful Portmanteau Tests for Persistence?
|
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
|
B
|
2
|
|
2002
|
repec:bla:obuest:v:64:y:2002:i:4:p:381-97
|
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
|
B
|
2
|